The Labour list is now on version three (the first one had Judith Tizard at number 1; the second had Lesley Soper at 77 when she’s at 44 – still almost certainly not likely to be back in parliament but not as insulting as 77).
The Hive has a prediction of who’ll be in and who’ll miss out here.
Keeping Stock also linked to the analysis on Kiwiblog which includes this summary based on public polls and not knowing which electorates will be won or lost:
So what will Labour’s Caucus look like? Well on the current public polling scenario giving them 45 MPs, it would be:
- Only 8 MPs or 18% from the South Island
- 38% female, which isn’t bad at all
- 49% would be aged in their 50s though
- They would have only six Maori MPs – the same number as National! They would be Horomia, Mahuta, Jones, Ririnui, Mackey, and Davis
- Four Pacific Island MPs – Laban, Sio, Chauvel and Sepuloni
- Three Asian MPs – Choudary, Prasad, and Huo
What does it say when they’ll have just 8 Labour MPs in the South Island?
It’s a sad reflection on the party’s view on the importance of the mainland. Although we may well be better off without more of them 🙂
Apart from that this list means the Labour caucus will have fresh blood at the expense of several sitting MPs who now face a life outside parliament. If their idea of their importance is higher than their list placings indicate that will not make the Labour caucus a happier place to be.
What does it say about democratic selections porcesses too? That’s eight new propsective MPs who have been selected by the party elite rather than members at large.