Yesterday morning Chris Trotter called the election for National unless something hugely dramatic happens between now and polling day.
In the afternoon Justice Minister Judith Collins had to apologise for not being as open as she should have been about her trip to China.
This morning, the Reserve Bank is expected to announce an increase in the Official Cash Rate which will lead to an increase in interest rates.
That won’t come as any surprise when the OCR has been at a record low of 2.5% since March 2011.
It will be welcomed by those who get income from interest-bearing investments. It won’t be appreciated by the many more who have mortgages, even though interest rates will still be well below the 11% we were paying when Labour lost the 2008 election.
Neither of these are hugely dramatic and are unlikely by themselves to have much impact on the polls when Labour continues to be divided internally and confused about which coalition partners it would choose.
The odds still favour National, but when even a day can make a big difference, six months is time for an even bigger one.
Erosion over time can do as much damage as an explosion.