On-farm inflation 9.7%

15/07/2008

A 9.7% increase in costs for sheep and beef farmers in the year to March 2008 is the highest rate of on-farm inflation since 1986-87 when input prices rose 13.2%.

The previous year the price of inputs increased 2.7%.

Major increases were:

Fertiliser, lime & seeds:         30%

Fuel:                                      23.5%

Feed & grazing:                     13.7%

Interest:                                 9.0%

Electricity                               7.2%

Local Govt. rates                    6.6%

Although the high dollar reduced the price of imported goods, fertilsier, lime and seed prices still increased by 30%. The price of fertiliser increased from $260 to $480, another 60%, between March and June, June but that is not included in these figures.  

Local Government rates increased 6.6 per cent. This was the second largest increase in 17 years and in the last five years the overall increase was 33 per cent, an average of 6.6 per cent per year. The overall cumulative increase over 5 years to March 2008 was 22.7 per cent, while over 10 years the increase was 37.0 per cent.

In comparison the CPI rate of increase over 5 years was 14.0 per cent, well below the 22.7 per cent for sheep and beef farm input prices

If interest is excluded, the underlying rate of on-farm inflation in 2007-08 was up 8.3 per cent.

Meat & Wool Economic Service figures for the annual on farm inflation percentage change in the past 10 years:

including interest        (underlying % change) excluding interest

1998 -99         -2.0%                                          0.9%

1999-00                 2.8                                                             1.4

2000-01                 5.2                                                             6.0

2001-02                 1.7                                                             2.8

2002-03                 3.6                                                             3.4

2003-04                -0.2                                                             0.0

2004-05                 4.1                                                             3.7

2005-06                 4.8                                                             5.2

2006-07                 2.7                                                             2.7

2007-08                 9.7                                                             9.8

 


Safer in the Bank

22/06/2008

Tough but true talking from Martin Hawes:

More finance companies are likely go under. I do not know which particular ones are most at risk, but I believe this sector is so poor there is not a finance company that I would recommend to a client or invest in myself.

I concede there are some reasonably good finance companies around, although you could count them on the fingers of one hand.

However, the ones that are fairly well- governed and managed, and which have well-diversified loan books (ie the few good ones), still do not pay enough interest over and above what I can get at the bank to attract me as an investor.

There are some very sad stories about people who have lost their life savings through investing in finance companies which have failed, and some have done so on supposedly good advice from supposed experts.

But the buyer should always be beware. There is too much to lose and not enough to gain from taking a higher risk for only slightly more interest from most finance companies than you’d get from a safer option at a bank. 


<span>%d</span> bloggers like this: