Before we drilled for water we employed at water diviner.
He wandered around the paddocks with a forked stick which pointed down at a spot where he told us we’d find water.
When the driller turned up we told him that and he laughed and said we’d wasted our money. “The trouble with water diviners is that you can only ever prove them wrong,” he said. “If they’re right without the backing of science you don’t know if it’s just luck.”
This applies also to anyone who says they can predict earthquakes.
Ken Ring has terrified people in Christchurch by warning there could be another big earthquake this weekend. Some are so scared they’ve left the city.
The full moon will be very close to the earth tonight, but David shows that lunar phase is a very poor indicator of earthquake strength.
I have a great deal of sympathy for the people who have found Ken Ring’s prediction the last straw and have left the city for the weekend. Emotion beats facts and their fear is understandable.
The minister and the Skeptics Society are planning to have lunch in the Sign of the Kiwi, one of the tallest and oldest buildings in Christchurch, at noon this Sunday, the day Ken Ring predicted another earthquake would hit the city.
The minister, who has a background in earthquake engineering and a PhD in geotechnical engineering, told NBR he had been taken aback by the number of people taking Mr Ring seriously.
So will there be an earthquake in Christchurch this weekend?
Who knows? There might be and there might not be, there is no credible scientific method of predicting that.