It’s only one poll

The 1News Kantar poll shows National ahead of Labour:

#BREAKING: The latest 1News Kantar Public Poll results –

Party support:
National: 39%

Labour: 37%

Green Party: 9%

ACT: 8%

Te Pāti Māori: 2%

New Zealand First: 2% pic.twitter.com/bnwy4rnXM4

— 1News (@1NewsNZ) March 10, 2022

IT’s only one poll but it is continuing the trend of National gaining popularity and Labour losing it.

However, under MMP one major party having more votes than the other, doesn’t necessarily mean it could form a government.

National and Act have 37% support.

Labour and the Green Party have 36%.

The Maori Party has 2% and would be far more likely to go left than right.

However, the spectre of a Labour, Green, Maori government could well scare some in the middle ground into going right.

While Jacinda Ardern is still ahead as preferred PM, when those polled were asked who they’d prefer as PM if they could choose only Ardern or Christopher Luxon, there was only one percentage point in the difference:

Poll result for choosing between Ardern and Luxon for Prime Minister –

Jacinda Ardern: 46%
Christopher Luxon: 45%
Don’t know/Refused: 10%

Read more about these results here: https://t.co/U4rMTeHrMP pic.twitter.com/J1t63GU0P3

— Jessica Mutch McKay (@MutchJessica) March 10, 2022

We’re not even half way to the next election, but for the first time since Covid struck in 2020, the trend is National’s friend.