The government is planning for quarantine hotels to be over-run with Covid cases:
People with Covid-19 will soon be asked to quarantine at home, rather than being ushered to a managed isolation facility.
Modelling suggests Covid-19 case numbers could overwhelm managed isolation spaces, with a worst case scenario model predicting 5200 cases per week, just in the Auckland and Northland regions alone.
That modelling is based on a 90 percent vaccination rate, which those regions have not met.
At even a fraction of those rates, quarantine hotels would be full to the brim. . .
Spot the contradiction – people known to have Covid-19 will be isolating at home but fully vaccinated people arriving from overseas who have negative tests still have to spend 14 days in MIQ.
The government has got this the wrong way round.
It would be far safer for people who are double vaccinated and have a negative Covid test before they fly in and after they arrive to self-isolate at home than people known to be infected.
It would also take a lot of the pressure of MIQ hotels.
Either way self-isolating would be safe only for some people and some homes.
The people self-isolating would have to have others who could bring them food without making contact with them.
If there were others in the house, those self-isolating would have to be able to do so separately from everyone else.
That would require bedrooms with en suite bathrooms.
Before MIQ was instituted last year people coming from overseas were left to self-isolate on trust and many didn’t.
Unless there’s electronic monitoring of everyone self-isolating the risk of people not following the rules will be high.
Even if people do everything required, if would be far less risky if those self-isolating at home were people who were double vaccinated and with negative tests than if they had the disease.