No plan, wrong people

If you were looking for a Budget with a coherent plan for recovery, you wouldn’t have found it in yesterday’s:

Today’s Budget doesn’t have the plan we need to get New Zealand working again, Opposition Leader Simon Bridges says.

Kiwis have sacrificed so much through the restrictions of the lockdown, our collective efforts have so far worked well, now we need to get our economy cranking again.

“With a thousand people a day joining the dole queue we needed a proper plan. Spending money is the easy part. But investing billions where it will make the most difference was what we needed.

“Today we are seeing an extra $140 billion of debt. That’s $80,000 per household and it’s our children and grandchildren who will be paying for it. That’s equivalent to a second mortgage on every house.

“We will have $100 billion in deficits for the next four years.

“The Government will spend more than $50 billion, more than any Government has ever spent in any one Budget.

“It needed to be spent in a responsible and disciplined way. What this Budget lacks is any detail and accountability of how it will be spent and what it will achieve. . . 

This Budget had to be a big spending one, but did it have to be this big?

Today’s Budget reveals the sheer scale of the economic challenge New Zealand is facing, National’s Finance spokesperson Paul Goldsmith says.

“We’ve just been through a dramatic health crisis, now New Zealanders can see the scale of the economic challenge and just how serious is.

“Unemployment is set to skyrocket to 9.8 per cent highlighting why the first priority must be to save jobs.

“With an extra $140 billion in debt, we’re facing debt levels not seen in decades, that’s nearly $80,000 per household.

“The Treasury predictions of future Government tax revenue and economic growth appear highly optimistic. New Zealanders should brace themselves for worse if this Government carries on.

“We welcome the limited extension of the wage subsidy however the $50 billion slush fund is totally unacceptable. The Government has cynically set aside more than $20 billion that it can spend before the election.

“There is very little in the way of a growth plan in this budget, beyond $230 million to encourage entrepreneurship and some announcements in infrastructure that we all know they will struggle to deliver.

While we agree that Government support is necessary to save jobs, we must be mindful that every dollar spent in today’s Budget will need to be paid back.

“What we need now is a genuine growth plan and careful economic management to pay down debt and get us back to growth without the need for higher taxes. . .

The lack of a plan is a point Paul Henry made:

“I think there is a good chance we [New Zealand] will miss the opportunity. I was hoping that there could be a bounce forward not a bounce back. It’s the human way – a life of least resistance. I’m not depressed, I’m disappointed.” . .

“I haven’t seen a long-term plan yet. I think the last six weeks I’ve seen us fighting a fire and trying to get back on our feet. We need a long-term plan. The world’s changed, and it’s changed for many years to come.” . . 

“There is not one person in the Government that has a plan or can articulate a plan.

“A plan has a start, a process and a goal….not one Minister can articulate what that plan is.

“Instead, it’s panic and continue to employ as many people as possible. That is not a plan’s arsehole. . .

David Farrar scored the Budget against 13 principles and found it wanting.

Grant White, owner of Logitech, is disappointed in the Budget too:

. . .Covid-19 package estimated to save 140,000 jobs over two years, and create more than 370,000 new jobs. I can’t see it and I await the detail of just how that will be done.

What I do know is what the government clearly doesn’t understand. There is only one thing the economy needs right now – confidence. And this budget is not going to generate it, indeed its failure to stop short and medium term redundancies is going to lead to an even greater reduction in confidence.

Bryce Edwards calls it a Budget with big numbers but little vision:

. . The problem for the government is that it has already been struggling to keep to its promise of being transformative. Previous budgets have shown Robertson and his colleagues have been unable to break free from their cautious instincts.

With the Coronavirus crisis, the opportunity was handed to the government to reset the economy and society, and deal with some long-term problems. Robertson even spoke about this during the leadup to the Budget, saying that now was the time to address intractable problems of economic dysfunction, inequality, and environmental decline. He talked of not wanting to “squander the opportunity”. And yet, many will look at today’s big-spending Budget and ask: “Is that it?

The problem isn’t just there’s no real plan to repair the economic damage inflicted by the COvid-19 response, the government has the wrong people to lead the recovery too.

Empathy and communication are valuable commodities in politics but they’re nothing without the ability to make a good plan and make it happen.

Does anyone who remembers the many and gradually less ambitious Kiwibuild promises really believe that Labour will build the 8,000 houses promised yesterday?

How much faith can we have in a Cabinet with Phil Twyford, Minister for the Kiwibuild fiasco and now Minister for the failed Auckland light rail project?

Or Labour deputy and Tourism Minister Kelvin Davis who after being notably absent while his sector faced the sector’s equivalent of foot and mouth disease, only popped up to do a possum in the headlights cameo with Paul Henry?

Does Minister of Health, David Clark, who was sidelined during the worst health crisis the country has ever faced give you confidence? Or what about his deputy Julie Anne Genter whose responsibilities include vaccinations? Remember the measles epidemic and the on-going flu vaccination debacle?

This government doesn’t have a plan and it does have the wrong people.

4 Responses to No plan, wrong people

  1. adamsmith1922 says:

    Reblogged this on The Inquiring Mind and commented:
    Good post on the failure that was the budget

    Like

  2. pb says:

    Kiwibuild competence. Labour now have an excuse to empty the treasury and are burning what seed corn they can find. Debt has brought down many nations. And more insidiously it launched most of the modern wars in history. Debt is for the cynics who don’t believe in tomorrow. Who don’t understand the power of compound interest. Keynesian big government debt spending is a failed idea. Keynes had no vision for the future, other than spend for today, for next quarter. The problems we face are surmountable, but only by a group who understand that big government is the problem, not the solution. It can turn very quickly.

    Like

  3. Murray Roxburgh says:

    9.8 unemployment? Dan Kerrigan would say “Tell him he’s dreaming”.
    I consider 15% as a conservative guess devoid of political spin and higher, if being a tad pessimistic.

    Airline pilots retraining to cut down wilding pines and kill vermin fails at even comedy.

    As for getting the Nephs off a couch, sheesh it has become de jour, even public teat sucking parasites are enjoying being paid to stay at Home with a play station, Youtube, netflix or whatever.

    I am wondering, just as with the older notion that an alcoholic needed to get to rock bottom before any cure might work for them, is that where we need to reach before welfare is no longer seen as a solution.
    Even Labour in the thirties saw work and its empowering effect was preferable to paying anyone to sit on their asses, this is the promised land.

    Like

  4. Teletext says:

    Thank heavens that some of the media have finally raised their heads above the trenches and finally come out and write what I have been saying since we started under “house arrest” in late March. This shambles running the country haven’t got a clue, let alone a plan.

    And we can blame it all on the Gnome of St Mary’s Bay. It was he and his unrequited quest for vengeance for a conspiracy theory perceived slight that has put us in this position by his putting of the “Fairy Princess” into power.

    My daughters will be off to the land of their mother as soon as they have finished school at the end of next year, where that country has controlled the virus and subsequent second round and still has a thriving economy and an excellent tertiary system in operation. That is, if they don’t get scholarships to other famous and older Universities, which is a possibility.

    I really feel for the kids of today who have no, or very little chance of escape, as the days of the big OE are over for some time. They are the ones who are going to have to shoulder the burden in the future as our “land of milk and honey” or “Godzown” turns to a land of “sack cloths and ashes”.

    Like

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