Right theory, wrong practice

Yesterday the PM explained the basis for decisions over the lockdown:

Basing our decisions on public health, keeping in mind risk is the best way we can protect both the economy, livelihoods and people’s wellbeing.

That is right in theory but has been wrong in practice.

Had the government been as mindful as it ought to have been about protecting the economy it would have allowed any business which could operate safely to do so.

It would also allow those businesses to move from level four to level three this week and not wait until next Tuesday.

The PM said the extra five days at level four is only two business days.

This statement says a lot about how little she, and her government understand business.

It is true that it is only two business days for Monday to Friday businesses, but a lot of businesses work on Fridays, Saturdays and public holidays.

Had level 3 started on Thursday, they would have observed the half-day closure for Anzac Day on Saturday, a wide variety and large number of businesses would have used at least some of the other four and a half days to repair some of the damage the lockdown has done.

Food businesses that can do takeaways, retailers able to do contactless transactions, sole-operators who work weekends . . . would have been at work.

Instead, the costs of the lockdown at level four are being imposed unnecessarily for at least four and a half days longer.

Those costs aren’t just economic. Business failure and increased unemployment come at a growing social and public health cost.

Ray Avery spells out some of those costs:

. . . What Jacinda Adern and Shaun Hendy should be modelling is what is the likely adverse effects of a continued lockdown on our existing appalling health statistics.

Our domestic violence statistics are a national shame and the police and domestic violence groups are seeing a dramatic increase in cases due to the lockdown.

We have the highest teen suicide rates in the developed world.

Every day one in five of our children goes to school hungry.

Every week sixteen people in New Zealand commit suicide.

Every year around 500 of our citizens die of Flu but we have never focused on eliminating the disease.

Based on the Government’s intervention strategies and New Zealand’s known COVID-19 case related mortality rates, this virus will have caused more economic damage, loss of livelihoods, increased suicides, disruption to our education system, inhuman treatment of our elderly and irreversible social changes than actual deaths to date “associated” with the virus.

We need to focus on facts not statistical modelling when it comes to determining the ongoing health and wellbeing of our citizens.

Given the high cost already imposed by the lockdown, no-one wants to risk lowering the level too soon and then having to increase it again.

But if safety is the guide, that risk would be slight, and the gain of four and a half days when so many more businesses could be operating would be worth it.

9 Responses to Right theory, wrong practice

  1. adamsmith1922 says:

    Reblogged this on The Inquiring Mind and commented:
    Some good points made by Homepaddock


  2. Andrei says:

    “Fools rush in where angels fear to tread”

    What this exceptionaly silly woman also doesn’t grasp is that you cannot just shut down industrial and economic processes by turning off a switch and then restart them by flicking it back on.

    Sir Ray Avery is a man of accomplishment – Jacinda Ardern is a women with no real world acheivements whatsoever, she is at best an example of style over substance.

    I am amazed at what has been unfolding over the past couple of months – the mass hysteria over what is in reality a common natural event that has happened many times before in our lifetimes without us noticing in particular.

    Historians are going to have a field day analysing what has gone on here and history is not going to be kind to J. Ardern

    Old people with terminal illnesses die – GET OVER IT!!!


  3. Andrei says:

    Oil futures have gone negative – what that effectively means that if you agree today to buy crude in 3 months time you will actually be paid $37.50 for each barrel you agree to buy.

    This is happening of course because there is no where to store the crude that is being produced because demand for refined fuels has cratered and the refineries storage facilities are full

    We live in interesting times but I am actually bored shitless locked up in my house without the usual human contact that make life worth living


  4. Teletext says:

    Well said Andrei, I would take notice of Ray Avery’s comments as he has certainly “been there, done that” whilst our COL’s business experience wouldn’t fill the back of a stamp if written down. Even their tame media mouthpiece, Soper has come out with criticism of the latest decision. Things are starting to fall apart. I liked Judith Collins honest assessment of Level 3 “same as level 4 but with KFC”. Even WRP is starting to try and make himself relevant again with his weird rantings. Oh for a government that knew what they were doing. We could have had that if it wasn’t for the pinstripe suited midget’s desire to extract utu at the cost of our nation’s future. Thanks WRP for ruining our paradise. Great to see you think you can flout the rules by fishing at your holiday home instead of being at your proper residence a few hundred Kms away at St Mary’s Bay. Once again, different rules apply to you. Can’t wait for September when hopefully he and his over inflated ego are gone forever.


  5. MvL says:

    Reblogged this on The Inquiring Mind
    Thats all you EVER effen do.
    Getting pretty tiresome don’t you think?


  6. homepaddock says:

    I take reblogging as a compliment and he almost always adds a comment with the reblog.


  7. MvL says:

    and he ALMOST always adds a comment
    Your blog of course. I withdraw.


  8. pdm says:

    MVL – normal courtesy suggests an apology would not be out of place either.


  9. MvL says:

    Yes of course. I apologise


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