The fundamental problem of the political Left seems to be that the real world does not fit their preconceptions. Therefore they see the real world as what is wrong, and what needs to be changed, since apparently their preconceptions cannot be wrong.
— Thomas Sowell Quotes (@ThomasSowell) October 13, 2019
Rural round-up
23/10/2019No change to methane targets – Neal Wallace:
Methane reduction targets are to remain but the Environment Select Committee considering submissions on the Zero Carbon Bill is recommending greater safeguards for using forestry to offset emissions.
The committee recommends the proposed Climate Change Commission be given power to consider the form of greenhouse gas emission targets to ensure targets stay fit for purpose and to consider the impact of forestry offsets.
Another change will allow the commission to recommend changes to the 2050 targets if a significant change is likely to occur. . .
Fonterra’s milk price forecast will cheer farmers but govt has given ample cause for grumbling to persist – Point of Order:
At last, a break in the clouds for NZ’s dairy farmers : Fonterra suppliers could be looking at a sharp lift in income, as the co-op revises its forecast range for the milk price to $6.55-$7.55 kg/MS.And the signals are strong enough to underpin projections the milk price will rise to its highest level since 2014 when the price hit $8.40.
This may diminish, if not completely halt, the grumbling in the cowsheds at Fonterra’s dismal performance over the last couple of seasons, racking up losses and cutting its dividend.
Whether it will eliminate the animosity towards the government, which is proposing to penalise dairy farmers over methane emissions and through its freshwater policy, is less certain. . .
Digging deeper into soil’s black box – Dr Jacqueline Rowarth:
Could soil organic matter be used for carbon credits?
Organic matter is the black box of the soil: it determines many factors in biological activities but predicting the outcomes of those biological activities is not easy.
With sand, silt and clay, organic matter affects soil structure, porosity, drainage and nutrient availability. It supports soil organisms by providing energy and nutrients for growth and reproduction. . .
Vaccinations protect people, animals – Mark Ross:
As we struggle to fathom how we ended up in the throes of a measles outbreak again, we’re reminded of the importance of vaccinations to protect us from life-threatening diseases.
This is no less true for animals which can share diseases with people. Vaccination vastly improves the health of people and animals and is vital for continuing to meet the health challenges of growing populations. . .
Is technology a threat to dairy? – Danielle Appleton :
The New Zealand dairy industry is facing major disruption from synthetic dairy, similar to the synthetic fibres that triggered the decline of the wool industry in the 1980s.
Technology companies are now making real dairy products, without cows.
Their aim is to make real dairy products far cheaper than traditional farming can within the next 10 to 15 years. . .
Prospects for a $7-plus farmgate milk price in 2020 have firmed with the lower New Zealand dollar value and a spring production peak that might not reach any great height.
ASB senior rural economist Nathan Penny believes the NZ dollar falling below US63c is worth up to 50c/kg to the milk price after the delay of the Fonterra currency hedging policy works through.
Fonterra was already forecasting $6.25-$7.25/kg ahead of any currency boost and ASB has pegged $7 before the possible currency upside, Penny said. . .
$2800 a jar: Hawke’s Bay company’s Manuka honey vintage now the most expensive in world :
One single windswept tree block has produced the most extraordinary and expensive Mānuka honey that the world has ever seen.
Ahuriri-based The True Honey Co is now selling its supplies of its 2017 Rare Harvest to luxury retailers such as Selfridges and Harrods in London.
The retailers are buying up to 10 of the 230 gram jars at a time to secure a supply with each jar selling for £1388 (NZD$2815) in the United Kingdom. . .
Why farmers should avoid magic and opt for science -Phil Holmes and Ian McLean:
Unfortunately, and to its detriment, broadacre agriculture is not always an evidence-based industry at producer level.
Yes, there are areas where evidence drives what is done, but it is far from universal. Too much attention is placed on fads and searches for silver bullets.
By way of contrast, consider engineering. If it was not based on hard evidence, planes would fall out of the sky, buildings would collapse and bridges would cave in. It is the ultimate discipline in everyday life. . .
Waitaki Whitestone Geopark
23/10/2019Waitaki Whitestone Geopark is seeking to be Australasia’s first Geopark.
This gives a glimpse of some of the attractions:
Focus on right solutions
23/10/2019Stephen Franks explains why he supports climate change investment:
An article in Forbes magazine reports on George Shultz recounting how Ronald Reagan gained a consensus to support the Montreal Protocol to combat the fluorocarbons that were thought to be creating the hole in the ozone layer. He refers to the problem of persuading people who felt there was too much uncertainty in the science.
“And then he [Reagan] did something that nobody ever does anymore,” Shultz said. “He went to the scientists who didn’t agree and put his arm around them and said, ‘We respect you, but you do agree that if it happens it’s a catastrophe, so let’s take out an insurance policy.’”
For 20 years I’ve used the same analogy in trying to counsel people who trap themselves into claiming more confidence in the “denialist” case than they can possibly justify, just because they can’t stomach the religious fervour and anti-human callousness of many climate campaigners.
I see precautionary investment against climate change as equivalent in political decision-making, to expenditure on defence. Both require spending for highly uncertain benefit. No one can know whether we genuinely have an enemy who will attack. No one can know if our precautions will be effective. Hopefully the investment will be untested. We can’t know until afterwards whether it is wasted. Yet it is rational to try, because the catastrophe could be so overwhelming if the risk matures without resilience or mitigation precautions.
But such investment remains foolish if it is unlikely reduce CO2 levels materially, or to improve New Zealand’s ability to cope if change happens nevertheless. Given NZ’s inability to affect the first, an insurance investment should focus primarily on resilience. . .
Proposed measures do the opposite.
And so we have in NZ a closing of ranks against climate “denialism”. Our elite hunts for heretics. We should instead respect those who are suspicious of compulsory ‘scientific consensus’ but ask them to join in working out what is likely to be most efficient (given we are going to spend on ‘insurance’ anyway).
It is wicked to take steps just for expansive show. The Zero Carbon Bill approach will actually increase world CO2 emissions, just not here. So we are posturing to an indifferent global class, impoverishing ourselves (reducing resilience) and achieving as much against climate change as the Summer Palace did for the Qing dynasty and China.
It is frustrating that climate evangelists insist we accept the science on climate change but don’t follow the science on mitigation and solutions.
In doing so they are ignoring the high economic and social costs for at best little environmental gain and too often losses.
Bjorn Lomborg also writes about the need to focus on the right solutions:
As it is becoming obvious that political responses to global warming such as the Paris treaty are not working, environmentalists are urging us to consider the climate impact of our personal actions. Don’t eat meat, don’t drive a gasoline-powered car and don’t fly, they say. But these individual actions won’t make a substantial difference to our planet, and such demands divert attention away from the solutions that are needed.
Even if all 4.5 billion flights this year were stopped from taking off, and the same happened every year until 2100, temperatures would be reduced by just 0.054 degrees, using mainstream climate models — equivalent to delaying climate change by less than one year by 2100.
Nor will we solve global warming by giving up meat. Going vegetarian is difficult — one US survey shows 84 percent fail, most in less than a year. Those who succeed will only reduce their personal emissions by about 2 percent.
And electric cars are not the answer. Globally, there are just 5 million fully electric cars on the road. Even if this climbs massively to 130 million in 11 years, the International Energy Agency finds CO₂ equivalent emissions would be reduced by a mere 0.4 percent globally.
Put simply: The solution to climate change cannot be found in personal changes in the homes of the middle classes of rich countries. . .
If these changes won’t work, what will?
We must look at how we solved past major challenges — through innovation. The starvation catastrophes in developing nations in the 1960s to ’80s weren’t fixed by asking people to consume less food but through the Green Revolution in which innovation developed higher-yielding varieties that produced more plentiful food.
Similarly, the climate challenge will not be solved by asking people to use less (and more expensive) green energy. Instead, we should dramatically ramp up spending on research and development into green energy.
The Copenhagen Consensus Center asked 27 of the world’s top climate economists to examine policy options for responding to climate change. This analysis showed that the best investment is in green-energy R&D. For every dollar spent, $11 of climate damages would be avoided.
This would bring forward the day when green-energy alternatives are cheaper and more attractive than fossil fuels not just for the elite but for the entire world.
Right now, despite all the rhetoric about the importance of global warming, we are not ramping up this spending. On the sidelines of the 2015 Paris climate summit, more than 20 world leaders made a promise to double green-energy research and development by 2020. But spending has only inched up from $16 billion in 2015 to $17 billion in 2018. This is a broken promise that matters.
After 30 years of pursuing the wrong solution to climate change, we need to change the script.
The predominant script is a red one not a green one. It’s driven by an anti-capitalist political agenda.
We need to write a new one directing efforts towards research and innovation that will save the earth without imposing huge costs on the world.
Rural rround-up
22/10/2019Allied Press business and rural editor Sally Rae has won the Rural Women New Zealand journalism award..
The award was established to recognise the important contribution women make in rural communities.
Entries in this year’s award had to include two articles broadly based on the theme of ‘‘rural women making a difference’’. . .
Vital animal protein missing from global food discussions – Pam Tipa:
The needs for animal protein in discussions on future nutritious and sustainable food systems seems to be missing from much of the rhetoric, says Jeremy Hill, Fonterra’s chief scientist and technology officer.
That includes the EAT-Lancet report, says Hill, who spoke at the Climate Change and Business Conference in Auckland last week.
Hill said he was speaking in his role as a professor of sustainable food systems at the Reddit Institute. . ..
They’re committed to their land – Kate Taylor:
A Central Hawke’s Bay family farm is combining bulls and Wagyu steers to make the most of its climate and the most of its family asset. They not only know what they are doing on-farm but also know the supply chain from end to end so can tick all the boxes expected of them. Kate Taylor reports.
Growing quality cattle on an all grass and homegrown fodder system is all that’s needed to keep James Greer happy in his work.
“Farming is in our blood. Every day is different and every day is a challenge. We love it.”
James and Katherine Greer and James’ parents Jerry and Diana farm 830ha at Argyll east, west of Waipawa. . .
China trade warning – Neal Wallace:
A dollar out every $3 earned from primary products exports comes from China, a scenario that concerns Otago University marketing expert Dr Robert Hamlin.
Treasury has also warned about over-reliance on China, particularly for dairy.
Hamlin says as a rule of thumb no more than 20% of revenue should be earned from one source to ensure a buffer against changes in terms of trade. . .
More stock, less work – Yvonne O’Hara:
Since changing their farming practice to growing all grass year round for full-time dairy grazing, running more than 1000 head of stock was a “doddle”, farm manager Stuart Browning said.
He and wife Kim work for Brian and Glennis Webster, of the Coromandel Peninsula, who bought the 370ha (300ha effective) “Waikite” property next to Waituna Lagoon 11 years ago.
Since the Websters and Mr Browning changed the farming system, they have gone from about 600 stock on crop and grass, to grass only and running nearly twice that number while reducing their workload and making significant feed savings. . . .
One of Wales’ biggest abattoirs to stop processing beef:
One of Wales’ biggest abattoirs is to stop processing beef due to ‘falling volumes, negative margins and spiralling costs of production’.
Randall Parker Foods’ (RPF) abattoir in Llanidloes, Powys is one of Wales’ only beef processors.
It has now made the decision to end beef processing at the plant in what has been described as a ‘another blow’ for the sector. . .
Is the F word funny?
22/10/2019A friend was visiting her sister in Australia and wanted to go to a movie.
The last one she’d been to had been full of bad language and she wanted a cleaner one. Her sister said Four Weddings and a Funeral was reputed to be very good and very funny.
They went and the first several words were the F one.
Was it offensive? To some probably, but in the context it was both appropriate and funny.
Is it always?
We went to a stand up comedy evening recently and almost every sentence had at least one F word, often more.
IWere the comedians funny? Yes. In the context were all the Fs both appropriate and funny? No. Most of the time they were used as a filler instead of um and ah or a pause.
Does this clip need all the Fs?
It’s funny, but would it have lost any of the humour with fewer, or even no Fs?
I think so.
That word has become so commonplace a lot of people don’t even realise they’re using it and if they use it that often, what’s left when they really need an expletive?
Carbon Zero still sabotaging farming
22/10/2019The Zero Carbon Bill has returned from the Select Committee without science-based changes:
Controversial biological methane targets in the Government’s much-touted Zero Carbon Bill remain unchanged, despite strong lobbying from both environmentalists and farmers.
After months of scrutiny from MPs from both sides of the political aisle, the environmental select committee today released its much-anticipated report on the Zero Carbon Bill.
It shows the legislation’s original commitment to reducing biological methane – greenhouse emission from cows and sheep – by between 24-47 per cent below 2017 levels by 2050, remains in place.
This is despite intense lobbying for the targets to be fixed, not at a range, at either 24 or 47 per cent. . .
National is not happy. Its environmental spokesman Scott Simpson said not nearly enough of the bill had changed. . . .
Simpson said the 24-47 range not changing created uncertainty for industry players.
“It is too high given the current level of technology available to farmers to make meaningful reductions to biological methane.”
He said currently, the only way farmers can reduce this type of biological methane is by reducing their stock count. . .
Reducing stock numbers would come a high financial and social cost for at best no environmental gain and at worse a loss as our less efficient competitors increase production to fill the gap.
It also goes against the Paris Accord which stipulates climate change mitigation shouldn’t come at the expense of food production.
The Government unveiled the Zero Carbon Bill in May this year with much fanfare; Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern said it was a “landmark” piece of legislation.
“New Zealanders have demanded it – and today we delivered it.”
Do those who have demanded it understand the consequences and the cost of undermining food security in this way?
Do they understand they are demanding significant cuts in export income with all the hardship that will follow that?
Do they understand they are demanding steep increases in the price of food?
All the government is delivering is a flawed Bill that will take us on a pathway to misery.
Word of the day
21/10/2019Rustication – being “sent down” or expelled temporarily (specifically from Oxford or Cambridge); to leave temporarily for welfare and/or health reasons; the act of making someone leave a place, especially a private school or Oxford or Cambridge University, as a punishment; a temporary debarment (from a privilege or position etc); the act of a person or thing that rusticates; banishment into the country; the action of retiring to and living in the country; the condition naturally attaching to life in the country; a simple or old-fashioned style of living or decoration that is typical of the countryside; any of various forms of ashlar so dressed and tooled that the visible faces are raised above or otherwise contrasted with the horizontal and usually the vertical joints.
Rural round-up
21/10/2019Awards help farmers put spotlight on environmental progress:
It’s never been more important for farmers to showcase to fellow New Zealanders the work they’re doing to lighten their environmental footprint, Federated Farmers says.
“We’re in the middle of a national debate on the best regulatory settings to help drive improved water quality in our rivers and lakes. Some of the talk might drive an impression that we’re in some sort of downward environmental spiral, when the truth is many farmers up and down the nation are putting in huge amounts of sustainability and biodiversity enhancement work,” Feds environment spokesperson Chris Allen says.
Deadlines for the 2019 Ballance Farm Environment Awards in Horizons, Wellington and Waikato have already passed, but it’s not too late for farmers in eight other regions around New Zealand. . .
Shearing costs eat wool cheques – Alan WIlliams:
A fourth straight year of poor strong-wool prices lies ahead for sheep farmers.
After the increase in shearing charges in 2018-19 Beef+Lamb has estimated that combined with continuing abnormally low strong-wool prices that in the North Island, where nearly all the wool clip is crossbred, shearing costs take up 90% of farm wool receipts.
Until the start of the downturn four years ago shearing costs typically accounted for just 45% of wool returns. . . .
Fewer cows produce more milk – Neal Wallace:
An emerging approach to dairying might let farmers obey environment rules while maintaining or growing milk production.
The farm system change project has found farmers can run fewer but higher-performing cows while maintaining or growing milk supply.
It is done by accurately managing costs, feed quality and quantity to maintain cow condition, which results in a more efficient farm and conversion of feed by cows. . .
Seaweed feed could reduce cattle greenhouse gases :
The Cawthron Institute will receive $100,000 from the Government, to help it turn a native red seaweed into a greenhouse gas-busting cattle feed supplement.
The money comes from the Sustainable Food and Fibre Futures fund and was announced by the Prime Minister and Agriculture Minister during a visit to the Nelson-based research institute today. . .
Chicken virus can be eradicated MPI says – Maja Burry:
The Ministry for Primary Industries believes its is possible to eradicate a chicken virus that was recently detected here.
Last month MPI reported routine industry testing at two Otago egg farms owned by Mainland Poultry had identified the likely presence of Infectious Bursal Disease type one.
The virus can affect the immune system of young chickens but doesn’t pose any risk to human health. . .
https://twitter.com/Woolmark/status/1185073022148890624
‘Hyperactive’ 80-yr-old vet Jakob Malmo retires to run two dairy farms – Marion MacDonald:
Jakob Malmo says he’s too old to be lying in the mud delivering a calf so Gippsland’s legendary dairy vet has retired at 80 – to run two large dairy farms with his new wife, Jean.
Admitting others have described him as ‘hyperactive’, Dr Malmo is not one to sit still.
The achievements across his 58-year veterinary career are so many, it’s hard to know where to start but the man himself was most proud of the Melbourne University Rural Veterinary Unit he and Professor Doug Blood established in Maffra. . .
Derailing business confidence
21/10/2019In Thomas Coughlin’s analysis of the derailing of the government’s light rail plans this stood out:
. . .Evans gave a stark warning to the Government, saying that the messed-up process could stop firms from bidding for other government projects in future, making it even more difficult for the Government to plug it’s infrastructure gap. . .
Paul Evans is the chief executive of the Association of Consulting Engineers.
His view is yet another example of how this government is derailing business confidence.
Firms have wasted time and large amounts of money on this project and having been bitten so badly will be shy about bidding for others.
Meanwhile all of us are paying more for fuel by way of increased tax for a project that looks like it was never on the right track from the start.
Word of the day
20/10/2019Garbist – one who is adept at engaging in polite behavior; an expert in etiquette; a practitioner of good manners.
Rural round-up
20/10/2019Is this the future of irrigation? – Luke Chivers:
Curbing water consumption and the leaching of nitrogen is no easy feat but a major research programme has devised an ingenious plan. Luke Chivers explains.
A six-year research programme on irrigation has ended with a big win for agriculture – the development of promising new sensor technology systems that give arable, vegetable and pastoral farmers the tools to use precision irrigation at sub-paddock scales.
The systems work alongside existing irrigation scheduling technology, mapping and monitoring a field at sub-paddock scales and calculating exactly how much water is needed at the right time and place. It is a leading development for irrigation and field trials have proved to dramatically reduce water wastage, save users money and minimise farm runoff. . .
On-farm research helps water quality :
An innovative approach to improving environmental sustainability is proving its success in intercepting and treating storm water before it leaves the farm and trials indicate it could be a game-changer for water quality.
A four-year trial has looked at intercepting and treating storm water before it leaves the farm – stopping the phosphorus, sediment and E coli from washing off into Lake Rotorua
The detainment bund science project manager John Paterson says while there is an increasing spotlight on farmers and the impact farming has on waterways, this is a project developed and led by farmers. . .
The fourth industrial revolution in agriculture – Sebastiaan Nijhuis and Iris Herrmann:
For agribusinesses, implementing new technologies requires focusing on four critical capabilities.
Do all cows’ faces look the same to you? They don’t to systems powered by artificial intelligence (AI). Bovine facial recognition technology, developed through a strategic partnership between Cargill and an Irish technology company called Cainthus, equips barns and fields with smart cameras that can identify each cow in a herd in seconds based on facial features and hide patterns. Linked to machine learning software, the system determines whether a cow isn’t eating or drinking enough, or if she’s sick, and can alert the farmer via smartphone app. It can also look at the whole herd’s behavior to identify how best to distribute feed or schedule cows’ stints in a specific pen or in the field. Over time, the platform learns from what it sees and begins to automate more of the daily care for each animal. . .
Profit improves in better year for Alliance: -Sally Rae:
Alliance Group shareholders can expect a “substantial” improvement in profit performance when the company announces its year ended September 30 financial results, chief executive David Surveyor says.
Speaking at a roadshow meeting in Oamaru this week, Mr Surveyor said it was also very pleasing to announce a profit distribution would be made to shareholders.
Last year, the company posted an operating profit of $8million, down from the previous year’s $20.2million, and did not make a distribution to shareholders.
Chairman Murray Taggart said the company had made “really good” progress again this year but there was “still plenty to do“. . .
Hogget lambing ‘taken a hit’ – Yvonne O’Hara:
The recent bad weather has meant farmers in southern areas and the Southland hill country have ”taken a hit” with hogget lambing, says consultant Deane Carson, of Agribusiness Consultants, Invercargill.
Mr Carson said with the recent wet and windy weather last week, farmers had ”high losses”.
”While farmers in Central Southland have a good lambing and are nearly finished, those who are hogget lambing are getting impacted at the moment.”
He said hill country farmers were also affected by the poor weather, which ”knocked them about a bit”, and they also have had high losses, particularly as their lambing season was later than in other areas. . .
America’s first urban ‘agrihodd’ feeds 2000. Households for free -Lacy Cooke:
When you think of Detroit, ‘sustainable‘ and ‘agriculture‘ may not be the first two words that you think of. But a new urban agrihood debuted by The Michigan Urban Farming Initiative (MUFI) might change your mind. The three-acre development boasts a two-acre garden, a fruit orchard with 200 trees, and a sensory garden for kids.
If you need a refresher on the definition of agrihood, MUFI describes it as an alternative neighborhood growth model. An agrihood centers around urban agriculture, and MUFI offers fresh, local produce to around 2,000 households for free. . .
Farmer’s Voice – Jack Jordan
20/10/2019On this month’s Farmers Voice Wiggy head’s up to Taumarunui to catch up with 6-time underarm wood chopping world champ Jack Jordan, and has a chat about his passion for farming, rugby and woodchopping.
Sunday soapbox
20/10/2019Sunday’s soapbox is yours to use as you will – within the bounds of decency and absence of defamation. You’re welcome to look back or forward, discuss issues of the moment, to pontificate, ponder or point us to something of interest, to educate, elucidate or entertain, amuse, bemuse or simply muse, but not abuse.
There are people, the more you do for them, the less they will do for themselves. – Jane Austen
Word of the day
19/10/2019Calisthenical – addicted to exercise or calisthenics; skilled or talented in callisthenics; beautiful or graceful in respect of physical movement.
Posted by homepaddock 