Kiwi factor in net migration

Higher net immigration is prompting calls for a curbs on migrants.

But, Statistics New Zealand shows the kiwi factor in net migration:

A record net gain of 71,900 non-New Zealand citizen migrants in the May 2016 year, was partly offset by a smaller-than-usual net loss of 3,500 New Zealand citizens (Kiwis), and produced a record-breaking net gain of 68,400 people. The last time the difference between Kiwi migrants arriving and departing was this narrow was 25 years ago.

More Kiwis are coming back after living overseas and fewer are leaving than in recent years. These historically small net losses of New Zealand citizens combined with record net gains in non-New Zealand citizens have created our current record in migration.

The graph below shows New Zealand’s annual net permanent and long-term migration for 1986–2016.


Each year, typically more Kiwis depart overseas than return after a year or more away, and more non-New Zealand citizens arrive here to stay for a year or more, than leave.

The flow of New Zealand citizens can be large, and at times significantly offset the net gain in non-New Zealand citizen migrants. For example, in the May 2012 year 22,400 Kiwis arrived back in New Zealand and 61,800 headed overseas for a year or more, creating a net loss of 39,400 Kiwis. In the same period, there was a net gain of 35,800 non-New Zealand citizens which was outweighed by the loss of Kiwis, creating a total net loss of 3,700 migrants.

Since 1986, an average of 21,600 more Kiwis have left than arrived back, compared with an average of 32,100 more non-New Zealand citizens arriving than departing per year. These figures contribute to an average net gain of 10,500 migrants a year.

There are many ways of analysing net migration including by country of residence. The biggest net gains by country of citizenship in the May 2016 year, contributing to the 68,400 total net gain, were from:

  • India (13,100)
  • China (9,600)
  • the Philippines (6,200)
  • the United Kingdom (5,600).

Net migration is the difference between arrivals and departures of migrants. The biggest flows in either direction in the May 2016 year were:

  • New Zealand citizen departures (34,200)
  • New Zealand citizen arrivals (30,700)
  • Indian citizen arrivals (14,400)
  • Chinese citizen arrivals (11,500)
  • United Kingdom citizen arrivals (10,300).

While Kiwis are not contributing net gains to the current record gain in migration, they are a big determinant of total net migration as they dominate both migrant arrivals and departures.

It’s only a few years ago that the number of New Zealanders leaving and not returning was cause for concern.

Now that fewer are leaving and more are returning ought to be cause for celebration.

That people from other countries are also seeing New Zealand as a desirable place to live is a positive reflection on the country, economy and quality of life.


14 Responses to Kiwi factor in net migration

  1. Paul Scott says:

    You ain’t seen nothing yet. As Europe descends into chaos I think we will start receiving applications. We could set a comfortable number of new immigrants each month and take the best qualified. This means an interview and more rigorous approach. The present Nanny Government is asleep. There is only one way to get this work done and that is NZF. We do not need the Eurotrash which Herr Merkel and her fellow travelers have invited. We need an Islam invasion like we need foot and mouth.

  2. Will says:

    Have to agree, this a a huge opportunity and we don’t get many. Educated, skilled people with money and connections. Europe has squandered the civilisation it inherited, we may as well salvage some of what remains.

  3. Andrei says:

    Europe has squandered the civilisation it inherited, we may as well salvage some of what remains.

    And you do exactly what to preserve and transmit your own cultural heritage for posterity?

    The big question is what are our values? – highfalutin words are just words and empty in the face of a trashed and debased culture

  4. Will says:

    What are our values? Isn’t that one of those questions where, if you need to ask, you won’t understand the answer? They are preserved and transmitted through education of the young. Our children are the barbarians within the walls, each generation must be ‘civilised’ by its predecessor. But there are barbarians outside too. It was madness to let them in, and why? To pay taxes to support an over-generous welfare system and do the jobs Europeans couldn’t be arsed doing.

    Although we speak in general terms of Western Civilisation, there are different versions of it depending on were you are. My background is British, so I would list values such as Rule Of Law, Human Rights, Equal rights for women, trial by jury, separation of church and state, freedom of religion (and from religion). That sort of thing.

  5. Andrei says:

    My background is British, so I would list values such as Rule Of Law, Human Rights, Equal rights for women, trial by jury, separation of church and state, freedom of religion (and from religion). That sort of thing.

    Well there you go Will (and I’m not picking on you because I know you are a civilized and intelligent fellow) but isn’t the Queen is head of the English Church and selects its Bishops from candidates selected by the Government of the day – so how is that “separation of Church and State”?

    And nor do women have “equal rights” in modern British culture in some regards they enjoy advantageous rights under the rule of law in 21st century Anglo culture. “Equal rights” and “Human Rights” are examples of those flowery phrases that can be deployed to justify changes to address injustices that don’t necessarily really exist.

    Christianity of course is part of the European cultural heritage but Europe is not monolithic in its Christian expression – North Western Europe is Protestant, of course while Southern Europe is Catholic and East Europe is Orthodox

    So when you write

    “Have to agree, this a a huge opportunity and we don’t get many. Educated, skilled people with money and connections. “

    I suspect you have in mind Northern European secular professionals rather than Greek Orthodox boat builders

    Should we teach Shakespeare in schools?

    Should we teach the Bible?

    Or should our young learn their history from American TV – this horror from a show about young Mary Queen of Scots – I’d cry if it wasn’t so funny

  6. Andrei says:

    Anyway Will thinking of your term “qualified” is in fact qualified since overseas qualifications are not generally recognised

    E.g. I know two doctors who are not qualified to practice in NZ and to become qualified would in effect mean starting a medical degree from scratch – not viable for someone in their forties or fifties

  7. Will says:

    Alright then Andrei, substitute qualified with ‘skilled.’ And the British political system is effectively separate from the church in deed if not in word. Arguably more separate the the USA whose constitution insists on it.

    Still, as fine a display of hair-splitting as I’ve ever seen, well done.

    I would absolutely love to have Greek boat-builders here, not sure of your point. Yes, we should teach Shakespeare, and a working knowledge of the Bible and Homer, Milton the Modernists and more. And the history that accompanies them. If that seems like a lot, consider the utter crap they are currently filling kids’ heads with.

    I think that show is trying to cash in on the Game of Thrones popularity. I was appalled myself. But Hollywood can surprise. Troy was pretty good I thought, really caught something of the personalities, doomed Hector, Achilles brittle but brilliant, Agamemnon arrogant and avaricious etc. There is a mini series of the Odyssey which works quite well.

    My eldest is a true scholar, I used to tell her these tales as bedtime stories. The twins are not readers, but they enjoyed those films and others.

  8. Andrei says:

    No, No, No, Will – if the politicians pick the Bishops of the English Church (cf Yes Prime Minister – the Bishops Gambit) then the English Church is subservient to the politicians who will only select tame candidates – certainly not an example of the separation of Church and State

    Even the Wedding of Prince William to the Duchess of Cambridge as traditional as it was had the service modified to mollify modern sensitivities and political correctness sigh

  9. Will says:

    But surely the English Church is completely toothless, as is the Monarchy. What does it matter who the Bishops are? This isn’t Henry II and Thomas Becket.

  10. Andrei says:

    But surely the English Church is completely toothless, as is the Monarchy. What does it matter who the Bishops are?

    The reason why Godless politicians (servants of Satan for the most part, witting or unwitting) rendered the English Church toothless and irrelevant is to increase their own power and that of their dark Lord over humanity.

    They loath not being the sole voice of authority in society

    Of course it doesn’t work for the betterment of society and either mindless hedonism or Islam rushes in to fill the spiritual void created while the middle aged matrons who pose as priests (women can’t be priests, they can only posture as them) chatter endlessly about introducing marriage services for same gender couples.

    How many of those who have committed terrorist atrocities on British soil are those of Christian background that have adopted Islam? And the answer is most of them

    You have to ask on this thread, which is about immigration, why immigrants are not flocking to the English Church and integrating through it into English speaking society?

    Ele’s selected quote of the day is from AJ Cronin, a one time Atheist or Agnostic who was converted by his observation of the power of faith among the simple people he worked among in the Welsh mining valleys during the depression

    Its worth reading that quote if you haven’t already

  11. Will says:

    I’m guessing your first paragraph refers to the more unpleasant enlightenment philosophers like Rousseau, who sought to remove the church’s authority, which it was abusing, and replace it with themselves. Were we any better off? Probably not, which is one of the reasons democracy is still such a struggle. The tyranny of ‘experts’ is still being fought, as the recent ‘Brexit’ vote signifies.

    But that endless striving for self determination is one of the things I value most about Western Civilisation, especially the Anglo version of it.

  12. Andrei says:

    You know how bloody the so called “enlightenment” was Will

    My kids have mostly gone and I don’t see them coming back and that’s a fact

    And they don’t share the values of John Key’s kids and that’s a fact as well

  13. Andrei says:

    Well Will I am not impressed with the Anglo values displayed in this News Story

    I thought that when someone is accused of a crime they are given an opportunity to answer the allegations and defend them whereas the contents of this report apart from some very lurid allegations are not public and those named have not been given the chance to defend the charges against them – in fact the author of this report hit piece has not even talked to any of them, just slandered them

    And I also though the concept of collective punishment was an anathema to Anglo values

    But I was wrong – boy was I wrong

  14. Will says:

    I never claimed we weren’t in trouble, far from it. At least we have known the media is as corrupted as Olympic sport for some time. So it’s a start. A possible way back. Or forward.

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