. . . National’s slip leaves it still strong but also underlines the fact that it does not have the election in the bag.
But its problems are slight compared with Labour’s. Its latest average is below its 2011 election score of 27.5% and far below the 33.0% average at the end of 2013. To make matters worse, a Reid Research poll for Native Affairs on Maori TV showed the Maori party’s Chris McKenzie ahead in Te Tai Hauauru.
The Greens continued to be steady. Their latest four-poll average was 12.6%, which would net it 16 seats.
While party support is volatile, the most encouraging result is the continuing belief the country is going in the right direction.