The Stuff.co.nz/Ipsos Political Poll has National on 55.10 per cent, virtually unchanged from July, while Labour has sunk to 22.5, down 2.4 percentage points.
The poll, of at least 1,000 New Zealand residents who are eligible to vote, is a kick in the guts to Labour, which has steadily bled support since this time last year. On today’s numbers it would lose five MPs to just 29, putting even some senior front bench MPs at risk.
National would comfortably govern alone with 72 seats. The Greens are on 11.3 per cent while Internet-Mana’s higher profile has lifted its support to 2.1 per cent. A surprise mover are the Conservatives, which have jumped to 3.4 per cent, level pegging with NZ First. . .
The left block is down, even with Internet Mana. It is taking radical support from within the left and scaring more reasonable people away from it.
Kelvin Davis wouldn’t have a chance on the list at this low level of support for Labour which will intensify his efforts in Te Tai Tokerau.
Ironically it’s David Cunliffe’s yeah-nahing about working with Internet Mana which is damaging Labour. His failure to match his verbal support for Davis over Hone Harawira is damaging not just the Labour candidate but the party.
The poll was taken from last Saturday until yesterday, so most people were contacted after Labour’s campaign launch and the announcement of free GP visits to people aged 65 and older.
Kiwiblog has the breakdown of respondents supporting Labour :
Labour’s support by demographic is:
- Men 18%
- Women 27%
- Auckland 25%
- Upper NI 16%
- Wellington 23%
- Lower NI 30%
- Canterbury 14%
- SI 27%
- Under 30s 26%
- 30 to 44 25%
- 45 to 64 21%
- 65+ 19%
It is reassuring to see that the older people that Labour is trying to woo have more sense than the party and aren’t buying its bribe.
P.S. I was phoned for the poll but they had already met their quote for my age and location.