Saturday soapbox

Saturday’s soapbox is yours to use as you will – within the bounds of decency and absence of defamation.

You’re welcome to look back or forward, discuss issues of the moment, to pontificate, ponder or point us to something of interest, to educate, elucidate or entertain, to muse or amuse.

I love the light because it shows me the road and I also love the dark because it shows me the stars.

2 Responses to Saturday soapbox

  1. Andrei says:

    Memory Eternal George Jones

    September 12, 1931 – April 26, 2013

    The Heavenly choir is probably rocking today


  2. TraceyS says:

    The drought in NZ is no longer getting much attention, but when it was a hot topic I read quite a few comments that linked (or attempted to link) it’s occurrence with human induced climate change. A recent article highlights why caution must be heeded in doing so.

    “Climate’s role in US droughts is under scrutiny, 19 April 2013;

    “Can the extreme drought that devastated crops across the US Midwest in 2012 be blamed on global warming? Probably not, according to a report from the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

    “The team did not find any clear warning signs that could have been used to predict the drought, and their simulations suggest it would have taken place irrespective of global warming. Instead, they blame the event on natural atmospheric variability, which prevented moist air from moving north of the Gulf of Mexico during the summer.”

    The study was undertaken because, despite all the sophistication of climate change modelling techniques, the experts failed to predict the US drought in 2012.

    I don’t recall our 2013 drought being predicted either. It seemed we didn’t know it was coming until the drought was already upon us.

    IF there exists such a direct and indisputable link between carbon dioxide levels and climate change, AND we can measure and accurately model the gas, WHY then are models not making correct predictions? Could it be that we still don’t understand nature so very well?

    I suggest that if we are unable to correctly predict the weather 12 months ahead, then we have no hope (at present) of knowing what the climate or weather will be like in 100 years’ time.


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