Tired – exhausted, fatigued, sleepy; weary or bored; overused, hackneyed or stale; impatient.
MMP gained 54.74% of the vote in the referendum compared with 42.62% for change.
That margin is too big to overturn with special votes.
I voted for change and am disappointed in that result.
I will await discussion on how the system might be improved in the knowledge that what people want and what the parties might find acceptable are very different.
The best politics free post of the day:
My children are adults and either married or engaged to be married. As they approach a time when they will have their own families I often think of them with profound gratitude. I find joy in all my memories of them as babies, as children, as teenagers and as adults. Most of all though, I am grateful that I find joy in them today and every day. . .
You’ll find the rest in: In Praise of A Wise Woman at Look Up At The Sky.
Among those waiting most anxiously for election results last night were those who will find they have or have not got a different job on Monday.
Among them are candidates who stood in electorates and worked their socks off, some were successful, some weren’t. Some who weren’t will still get into parliament on a list.
Most, regardless of which party they were standing for, were genuine in their belief in what they were doing and the principles and policies they were promoting.
Many will also have made big sacrifices to stand including forgoing income they could have been earning.
Today, regardless of how well their party did, some will be disappointed that their efforts won’t be rewarded by a seat in parliament.
They also serve who stand and lose.
Three years ago the map of the South Island was blue except for red dots in Christchurch and Dunedin.
Now Damien O’Connor has reclaimed West Coast-Tasman there’s a big red splash over there. However, Kate Wilkinson won Waimakiriri for National from Labour’s Clayton Cosgrove so that seat is now blue.
Ian Lees-Galloway held on to Palmerston North so Labour still holds just two provincial seats.
But O’Connor is the one who chose not to stand on his party’s list because it was dominated by a “gaggle of gays and unionists” and people on the Primary Production select committee tell me that Lees-Galloway has no sympathy for nor understanding of farmers.
Labour is still very much a big-city party and it didn’t do very well there last night either, especially in the South Island.
Michael Woodhouse pulled Labour’s majority in Dunedin North back to 3,304 compared with 7155 in 2008. He was up against a new candidate in David Clark but National’s Party vote of 8,276 was only a few hundred behind Labour’s 8,863.
In Dunedin South National did even better, with a party vote of 13,190 compared with Labour’s 11,429. National’s candidate Joanne Hayes with 11,892 votes nearly halved Labour MP Clare Curran’s majority.
Three years ago when she was a new candidate Curran gained 6,449 votes and had a majority of 6,449, this time she dropped to 15,759 and a majority of 3,867 in what is one of the reddest electorates in the country.
In Clutha Southland Bill English won 19.726 votes, a majority of 14,915 and the party vote was 18,427 for National compared with 4,710 for Labour.
In Invercargill Eric Roy has a majority of 5,766 and National gained 15,089, nearly half of the 30,382 party vote.
Jacqui Dean held Waitaki with 21,404, a majority of 12,963 (up from a majority of 11,039 in 2008) and National gained 19,544 party votes from a total of 35,622. Labour got only 7,627.
In Rangitata Jo Goodhew’s majority dropped a little which is probably a reflection on the strong support for Allan Hubbard and dismay over the statutory management of
South Canterbury Finance the Hubbards. She won 18,410 votes, a majority of 6,006 compared with 21,759 and a majority of 8,112 three years ago. National attracted 18,064 compared with 18,441 in 2008. Labour dropped from 13,230 to 9,113 in the party vote.
In Selwyn, Amy Adams gained 22,669 votes and National got 20,749 party votes.
If the election was a referendum on how the government has handled the earthquake recovery then Christchurch is supportive.
National’s Nicky Wagner and Labour’s Brendan Burns are drawn in Christchurch Central. Kate Wilkinson took Waimakariri and National got a party vote of 18,764 compared with Labour’s 7,746; and Gerry Brownlee held Illam with a majority of 11,935 and National’s party vote was 17,672 compared with Labour’s 5,723.
Only one poll counts and yesterday’s wasn’t quite what the polls forecast.
But that’s because the headlines and focus go on decided voters.
With around 15% of voters undecided a couple of days before the election it was unlikely that National would get more than 50%.
In 2002 a lot of swinging voters who weren’t going to support Labour decided National couldn’t win and spread their votes around Act, United Future and New Zealand First.
This time voters who weren’t going to support National decided Labour couldn’t win could have gone to the Green Party but as usually happens it didn’t do as well as polls predicted it might.
They might have gone to Mana, the Maori Party or United Future but instead those disaffected voters went to New Zealand First or didn’t vote at all.
The turn-out was only 73.2 of enrolled voters and 68% of the eligible population which is very low by New Zealand standards
Interestingly Horizon, the only poll which says it’s reflecting decided voters was the least reliable indicator of what actually happened.
Kiwiblog had a summary of polls on Friday:
Only a handful of electorates changed hands in yesterday’s election:
Kate Wilkinson won Waimakariri for National with a margin of 395 over Clayton Cosgrove; Damien O’Connor took back West Coast Tasman for Labour with a majority of 2,287 over Chris Auckinvole; and Rino Tirikatane won Te Tai Tonga from the Maori Party’s Rahui Katane with a majority of 1,445.
Christchurch Central is a tie between sitting MP, Labour’s Brendon Burns and National’s Nicky Wagner.
|Auckland Central||100.0%||KAYE, Nikki (NAT)||ARDERN, Jacinda (LAB)||535|
|Bay of Plenty||100.0%||RYALL, Tony (NAT)||DEVOY-HEENA, Carol (LAB)||16,720|
|Botany||100.0%||ROSS, Jami-Lee (NAT)||WU, Chao-Fu (LAB)||10,054|
|Christchurch Central||100.0%||BURNS, Brendon (LAB)||WAGNER, Nicky (NAT)||0|
|Christchurch East||100.0%||DALZIEL, Lianne (LAB)||GILMORE, Aaron (NAT)||4,954|
|Clutha-Southland||100.0%||ENGLISH, Bill (NAT)||LOO, Tat (LAB)||14,915|
|Coromandel||100.0%||SIMPSON, Scott (NAT)||KININMONTH, Hugh (LAB)||11,800|
|Dunedin North||100.0%||CLARK, David (LAB)||WOODHOUSE, Michael (NAT)||3,304|
|Dunedin South||100.0%||CURRAN, Clare (LAB)||HAYES, Joanne (NAT)||3,867|
|East Coast||100.0%||TOLLEY, Anne (NAT)||MACKEY, Moana (LAB)||4,487|
|East Coast Bays||100.0%||McCULLY, Murray (NAT)||GOLDSMITH, Vivienne (LAB)||13,479|
|Epsom||100.0%||BANKS, John (ACT)||GOLDSMITH, Paul (NAT)||2,485|
|Hamilton East||100.0%||BENNETT, David (NAT)||ORGAD, Sehai (LAB)||7,708|
|Hamilton West||100.0%||MACINDOE, Tim (NAT)||MORONEY, Sue (LAB)||4,059|
|Helensville||100.0%||KEY, John (NAT)||GREENBROOK-HELD, Piers Jeremy (LAB)||19,116|
|Hunua||100.0%||HUTCHISON, Paul (NAT)||HILLS, Richard (LAB)||15,514|
|Hutt South||100.0%||MALLARD, Trevor (LAB)||QUINN, Paul (NAT)||4,193|
|Ilam||100.0%||BROWNLEE, Gerry (NAT)||PARSONS, John (LAB)||11,935|
|Invercargill||100.0%||ROY, Eric (NAT)||SOPER, Lesley (LAB)||5,766|
|Kaikōura||100.0%||KING, Colin (NAT)||COLLYNS, Liz (LAB)||10,534|
|Mana||100.0%||FAAFOI, Kris (LAB)||PARATA, Hekia (NAT)||1,857|
|Māngere||100.0%||SIO, Sua William (LAB)||HAUITI, Claudette (NAT)||13,356|
|Manukau East||100.0%||ROBERTSON, Ross (LAB)||BAKSHI, Kanwaljit Singh (NAT)||13,850|
|Manurewa||100.0%||WALL, Louisa (LAB)||CALDER, Cam (NAT)||7,230|
|Maungakiekie||100.0%||LOTU-IIGA, Peseta Sam (NAT)||BEAUMONT, Carol (LAB)||2,787|
|Mt Albert||100.0%||SHEARER, David (LAB)||LEE, Melissa (NAT)||9,055|
|Mt Roskill||100.0%||GOFF, Phil (LAB)||BLUE, Jackie (NAT)||6,383|
|Napier||100.0%||TREMAIN, Chris (NAT)||NASH, Stuart (LAB)||3,382|
|Nelson||100.0%||SMITH, Nick (NAT)||STREET, Maryan (LAB)||6,663|
|New Lynn||100.0%||CUNLIFFE, David (LAB)||GROSER, Tim (NAT)||4,475|
|New Plymouth||100.0%||YOUNG, Jonathan (NAT)||LITTLE, Andrew (LAB)||4,130|
|North Shore||100.0%||BARRY, Maggie (NAT)||CLARK, Ben (LAB)||13,739|
|Northcote||100.0%||COLEMAN, Jonathan (NAT)||GILLON, Paula (LAB)||8,535|
|Northland||100.0%||SABIN, Mike (NAT)||STEWART, Lynette (LAB)||10,655|
|Ōhariu||100.0%||DUNNE, Peter (UFNZ)||CHAUVEL, Charles (LAB)||1,646|
|Ōtaki||100.0%||GUY, Nathan (NAT)||FOSTER, Peter (LAB)||5,099|
|Pakuranga||100.0%||WILLIAMSON, Maurice (NAT)||KAUSHAL, Sunny (LAB)||12,879|
|Palmerston North||100.0%||LEES-GALLOWAY, Iain (LAB)||HAPETA, Leonie (NAT)||3,001|
|Papakura||100.0%||COLLINS, Judith (NAT)||MIKA, Jerome (LAB)||9,339|
|Port Hills||100.0%||DYSON, Ruth (LAB)||CARTER, David (NAT)||2,925|
|Rangitata||100.0%||GOODHEW, Jo (NAT)||BLANCHARD, Julian (LAB)||6,006|
|Rangitīkei||100.0%||McKELVIE, Ian (NAT)||PAGANI, Josie (LAB)||8,741|
|Rimutaka||100.0%||HIPKINS, Chris (LAB)||FLETCHER, Jonathan (NAT)||3,126|
|Rodney||100.0%||MITCHELL, Mark (NAT)||CRAIG, Colin (CNSP)||11,011|
|Rongotai||100.0%||KING, Annette (LAB)||FINLAYSON, Christopher (NAT)||8,022|
|Rotorua||100.0%||McCLAY, Todd (NAT)||CHADWICK, Steve (Stephanie) (LAB)||6,867|
|Selwyn||100.0%||ADAMS, Amy (NAT)||McLEAN, Jo (LAB)||17,708|
|Tāmaki||100.0%||O’CONNOR, Simon (NAT)||BAKULICH, Nick Iusitini (LAB)||16,257|
|Taranaki-King Country||100.0%||ARDERN, Shane (NAT)||BARKER, Rick (LAB)||14,093|
|Taupō||100.0%||UPSTON, Louise (NAT)||CAMPBELL, Frances (LAB)||13,049|
|Tauranga||100.0%||BRIDGES, Simon (NAT)||HORAN, Brendan (NZF)||15,812|
|Te Atatū||100.0%||TWYFORD, Phil (LAB)||HENARE, Tau (NAT)||4,653|
|Tukituki||100.0%||FOSS, Craig (NAT)||HAYDON-CARR, Julia (LAB)||9,032|
|Waikato||100.0%||TISCH, Lindsay (NAT)||SUTTON, Kate (LAB)||12,965|
|Waimakariri||100.0%||WILKINSON, Kate (NAT)||COSGROVE, Clayton (LAB)||395|
|Wairarapa||100.0%||HAYES, John (NAT)||BOTT, Michael (LAB)||6,695|
|Waitakere||100.0%||BENNETT, Paula (NAT)||SEPULONI, Carmel (LAB)||349|
|Waitaki||100.0%||DEAN, Jacqui (NAT)||MONKS, Barry (LAB)||12,963|
|Wellington Central||100.0%||ROBERTSON, Grant (LAB)||FOSTER-BELL, Paul (NAT)||5,111|
|West Coast-Tasman||100.0%||O’CONNOR, Damien (LAB)||AUCHINVOLE, Chris (NAT)||2,287|
|Whanganui||100.0%||BORROWS, Chester (NAT)||McDOUALL, Hamish (LAB)||4,786|
|Whangarei||100.0%||HEATLEY, Phil (NAT)||NEWMAN, Pat (LAB)||11,674|
|Wigram||100.0%||WOODS, Megan (LAB)||COLLINS, Sam (NAT)||1,533|
|Hauraki-Waikato||100.0%||MAHUTA, Nanaia (LAB)||GREENSILL, Angeline (MANA)||5,373|
|Ikaroa-Rāwhiti||100.0%||HOROMIA, Parekura (LAB)||RAIHANIA, Na (MAOR)||5,924|
|Tāmaki Makaurau||100.0%||SHARPLES, Pita (MAOR)||JONES, Shane (LAB)||746|
|Te Tai Hauāuru||100.0%||TURIA, Tariana (MAOR)||PEKE-MASON, Soraya Waiata (LAB)||2,760|
|Te Tai Tokerau||100.0%||HARAWIRA, Hone Pani Tamati Waka Nene (MANA)||DAVIS, Kelvin (LAB)||874|
|Te Tai Tonga||100.0%||TIRIKATENE, Rino (LAB)||KĀTENE, Rāhui (MAOR)||1,445|
|Waiariki||100.0%||FLAVELL, Te Ururoa James (MAOR)||SYKES, Annette Te Imaima (MANA)||1,820|