Polls midway through the campaign are continuing to point to a win for the incumbents on September 20, but Ministers reckon it will be a “tight finish.” On current polling, the Centre-Right parties appear to be about 15 points ahead of those on the Centre-Left. So is NZ becoming more conservative? Or is the Centre-Right domination of the political landscape due to John Key shifting National to the centre? The answers to those questions may only emerge in time, but after the hard slog through the global financial crisis and the Christchurch earthquakes, NZers have a clear and pressing priority. They overwhelmingly want a stable Govt to deliver steady, if not spectacular, progress.
They are averse to radical, dislocating change, or of “reformers” who want to re-shape their world. . . .
Only National can provide stable government.
The internal divisions in Labour have been overshadowed by other events and issues in the election campaign.
But they haven’t gone away and are one of the reasons the party is polling so poorly.
The unions and members lumbered caucus with a leader they didn’t want and who some still don’t support.
Throw in the Green Party wanting around half the cabinet positions plus Winston Peters, Hone Harawira, Laila Harre . . . and you get a recipe for instability and no progress.